Introducing the 2017 Consensus Phantom Draft

Since 2014 HPN has trawled the internet in order to find out which club is meant to pick which player in the upcoming draft, in lieu of our lack of knowledge about junior footy.

This is HPN’s fourth annual attempt at the Consensus Phantom Draft. In most years the method is within the two or three most accurate phantom drafts with respect to the final place that a given player is selected at, however the method becomes increasingly more accurate as the time until draft day narrows.

The method is simple – we have assembled eight draft rankings in order to sort the prospective draftees. We’ll use this to identify which players and clubs there is consensus on, and where the experts disagree. HPN looks at two different measures: the average draft position and the “mode” – the position a player is most .

At the end of the draft, we’ll take a look back and see which phantom drafters have been the most accurate. Last year, Callum Twomey nailed the first round, and Brett Anderson was the most accurate across the whole draft.

The phantom drafts/power rankings we’ve used so far are:

We are not re-publishing their work here in full because we don’t want to steal traffic away from these sites, and want them to get fair reward for their hard work. If you want to read the reasons for all the selections made by those writers above, we encourage that you have a read.

We encourage readers to bring new phantoms and power rankings to our attention, especially those at independent websites which we might have missed. Hit us up @hurlingpeople on twitter, via email at hurlingpeoplenow [at] or via the comments below.

Here, then, is the first version of the Consensus Phantom Draft:

1Brisbane LionsLuke Davies-Uniacke2.0142
2FremantleCameron Rayner2.1141
3CarltonPaddy Dow2.4133
4North MelbourneAdam Cerra4.8277
5FremantleJaidyn Stephenson5.8485
6CollingwoodAndrew Brayshaw6.64135
7St KildaDarcy Fogarty8.641212
8St KildaNick Coffield9.06119
9Western BulldogsAaron Naughton9.15146
10CarltonHunter Clark10.98158
11GWSAiden Bonar12.082310
12AdelaideJack Higgins12.871811
13West CoastCharlie Constable15.182020
14SydneyJarrod Brander15.463812
15Brisbane LionsNathan Murphy16.8112415
16Western BulldogsOscar Allen17.0133813
17RichmondEd Richards20.4113719
18BrisbaneLochie O'Brien23.3143821
19Gold CoastSam Hayes23.6103826
20RichmondNoah Balta25.364417
21West CoastLachlan Fogarty29.0154917
22Richmond (F/S)Patrick Naish29.5164138
23Brisbane (Academy)Connor Ballenden29.8184038
24GeelongJoel Garner32.3164444
25North MelbourneMatthew Ling32.9224938
26GeelongCharlie Spargo33.1234938
27West CoastZac Bailey33.6194938
28GWSJack Petruccelle33.9194938
29GWSGryan Miers34.9284928
30MelbourneSam Taylor35.4224938
31CarltonTim Kelly37.4234938
32MelbourneJordan Houlahan39.3234938
33West CoastHarrison Petty39.4244938
34SydneyCharlie Ballard40.0294938
35St KildaDylan Moore40.3314938
36GeelongBailey Fritsch40.4324938
37MelbourneToby Wooller40.8354938
38West CoastBrandon Starcevich41.0374938
39CollingwoodRyley Stoddart41.1374938
40AdelaideKane Farrell41.3374938

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