Tim Kelly is the best player (so far) in 2019 (and some other fun stuff)

With about two-fifths of the season behind us, some nuggets of knowledge are starting to emerge across the league. This week, HPN will take a look at some of the emerging trends for different players so far this year.

As the headline sort of spoiled, according to HPN’s system of player value (PAV), Tim Kelly has hopped into the lead as the most valuable player so far this year.

Player
Team
Games
Off PAV
Def PAV
Mid PAV
Total PAV
Off mPAV
Def mPAV
Mid mPAV
Total mPAV
Kelly, TimGE118.713.7013.0025.410.916-0.1851.8590.863
Gawn, MaxME117.803.4812.9124.190.716-0.2351.8410.774
Bontempelli, MarcusWB117.943.7512.3924.080.746-0.1751.7270.766
Shuey, LukeWC116.805.3411.6523.780.4950.1751.5620.744
Grundy, BrodieCW118.022.3713.3223.720.765-0.4781.9310.739
Zorko, DayneBL118.592.6512.1823.430.890-0.4171.6800.718
Dangerfield, PatrickGE109.002.8210.8422.651.177-0.3191.6230.827
Cameron, JeremyGW1118.391.203.0422.633.046-0.735-0.3320.660
Pendlebury, ScottCW115.813.6113.1722.590.278-0.2061.8970.656
Sloane, RoryAD115.965.5511.0422.550.3120.2201.4280.653
Mundy, DavidFR114.435.3712.6622.46-0.0240.1811.7850.647
Walters, MichaelFR1110.353.018.6221.981.276-0.3370.8970.612
Fyfe, NatFR105.862.9913.0021.850.419-0.2782.1460.762
Boak, TravisPA115.542.4813.5121.530.219-0.4541.9720.579
Sheed, DomWC117.933.749.5121.190.744-0.1771.0930.554
Lobb, RoryFR118.495.317.3821.170.8670.1670.6240.553
Coniglio, StephenGW108.632.069.9620.651.088-0.5011.4100.666
Merrett, ZachES114.875.939.8220.610.0710.3051.1590.512
Prestia, DionRI114.913.1412.4420.500.081-0.3091.7370.503
Yeo, ElliotWC115.134.9310.4420.490.1280.0841.2960.502
Neale, LachieBL114.603.1912.4720.260.011-0.2981.7440.486
Goldstein, ToddNM118.612.608.7819.990.894-0.4280.9310.466
Stewart, TomGE111.3816.432.1419.96-0.6972.616-0.5280.463
Finlayson, JeremyGW1113.103.992.8519.951.883-0.121-0.3720.463
Hawkins, TomGE1116.260.862.7719.882.577-0.811-0.3910.458
Crouch, BradAD116.173.809.8219.790.357-0.1651.1610.451
Oliver, ClaytonME112.963.7412.9819.68-0.348-0.1771.8560.443
Hopper, JacobGW115.073.3011.3119.680.115-0.2741.4880.443
Shiel, DylanES105.493.7610.2719.520.328-0.0901.4860.575
Robinson, MitchBL117.394.157.9019.450.627-0.0870.7380.426
Taranto, TimGW115.503.5210.1919.200.210-0.2261.2410.408
Duncan, MitchGE117.776.874.5419.180.7090.511-0.0010.406
Smith, BrodieAD113.8611.054.2419.15-0.1521.431-0.0670.404
Sicily, JamesHW111.3716.111.5519.03-0.6992.544-0.6600.395
McCluggage, HughBL117.293.468.2318.990.605-0.2380.8110.392
OMeara, JaegerHW104.633.5110.7718.910.121-0.1511.6060.525
Witts, JarrodGC118.731.658.4118.790.920-0.6370.8510.378
Gresham, JadeSK117.910.8010.0318.740.741-0.8251.2070.374
Ryder, PaddyPA118.272.837.5918.690.820-0.3780.6700.371
Cripps, PatrickCA114.763.1910.4818.430.047-0.2981.3050.351
Bellchambers, TomES117.193.647.5418.360.581-0.2000.6590.347
Stanley, RhysGE96.763.637.9418.340.819-0.0241.1350.643
Martin, StefanBL117.462.128.7618.330.640-0.5340.9270.344
Ablett, GaryGE1011.411.125.7618.291.761-0.7290.3930.475
Brown, BenNM1114.551.022.7118.282.202-0.776-0.4050.340
Harmes, JamesME115.172.6310.4318.230.136-0.4221.2950.337
Liberatore, TomWB114.612.0911.4318.130.014-0.5391.5150.330
Henderson, RickyHW116.274.896.9218.080.3780.0760.5220.326
Martin, DustinRI106.921.339.7017.950.674-0.6781.3470.448
Cunnington, BenNM113.682.7911.3817.86-0.190-0.3871.5050.309
Ziebell, JackNM118.391.847.3917.620.847-0.5960.6250.292
Treloar, AdamCW114.971.9010.7517.620.094-0.5821.3650.292
Rich, DanielBL112.6510.474.4617.58-0.4181.304-0.0180.289
Ross, SebastianSK113.804.179.5217.50-0.164-0.0821.0950.283
Marshall, RowanSK96.482.058.8817.410.743-0.4491.3870.560
Sinclair, CallumSY117.363.536.5017.390.619-0.2230.4310.276
Whitfield, LachieGW95.885.435.9317.250.5810.4610.5950.546
Parker, LukeSY115.363.538.3317.220.180-0.2240.8330.263
Higgins, ShaunNM105.902.239.0617.200.429-0.4591.1930.388
Brayshaw, AngusME114.663.848.6717.170.025-0.1540.9060.259
Wilson, NathanFR111.7212.822.6017.14-0.6211.819-0.4270.257
Darling, JackWC1113.161.652.2917.101.895-0.637-0.4960.254
Worpel, JamesHW114.113.479.4717.05-0.096-0.2361.0840.251
Heeney, IsaacSY119.312.155.5216.991.049-0.5270.2150.246
Heppell, DysonES114.873.408.6216.890.071-0.2530.8970.238
Breust, LukeHW1111.431.454.0116.881.514-0.681-0.1180.238
Himmelberg, HarryGW1110.952.952.9816.871.409-0.351-0.3450.237
Papley, TomSY1110.072.583.9516.601.216-0.432-0.1310.218
Gunston, JackHW1110.252.963.2516.471.256-0.349-0.2840.208
de Goey, JordanCW911.020.594.8316.451.964-0.8400.3000.475
Lycett, ScottPA105.283.677.4516.390.277-0.1120.8020.322
Macrae, JackWB114.522.719.0916.31-0.007-0.4051.0000.196
Fiorini, BraydenGC104.964.426.9316.300.2000.0700.6760.315
Rockliff, TomPA102.352.3511.5416.23-0.432-0.4311.7920.309
Kelly, JoshGW84.802.179.1816.150.452-0.3431.7760.629
Lloyd, JakeSY112.5611.831.7616.15-0.4361.603-0.6130.184
Hill, BradleyFR115.274.366.5216.150.160-0.0410.4340.184
Atkins, RoryAD114.475.795.8616.12-0.0160.2730.2900.182
Ryan, LukeFR111.2312.242.5716.05-0.7291.694-0.4340.177
Dunkley, JoshWB115.032.328.6415.990.107-0.4900.9010.173
Wallis, MitchWB105.481.778.6915.940.327-0.5721.1040.286
Hurley, MichaelES110.1615.080.7015.93-0.9662.317-0.8450.169
Mihocek, BrodyCW1110.191.244.4815.911.241-0.726-0.0140.167
Newnes, JackSK114.275.316.2815.86-0.0610.1680.3820.163
Swallow, DavidGC115.263.457.0715.790.158-0.2410.5560.158
Powell-Pepper, SamPA114.822.218.7515.780.061-0.5150.9250.157
Rampe, DaneSY110.7713.361.6215.76-0.8301.940-0.6440.156
Sidebottom, SteeleCW113.995.026.6415.65-0.1230.1050.4610.148
Hunter, LachieWB114.105.026.4515.58-0.0980.1050.4200.142
Crisp, JackCW112.566.586.4015.54-0.4370.4470.4090.139
Lyons, JarrydBL114.102.359.0715.52-0.099-0.4820.9950.138
Beams, DayneCW94.822.578.0215.410.297-0.3091.1580.382
Hardwick, BlakeHW111.6311.312.4415.38-0.6411.489-0.4630.128
Houston, DanPA111.818.984.5515.35-0.6010.9750.0020.125
Allen, OscarWC119.173.362.7515.271.016-0.262-0.3950.120
Hurn, ShannonWC111.0112.821.4215.26-0.7771.820-0.6870.119
Reid, SamSY119.942.632.6515.221.186-0.422-0.4170.116
Laird, RoryAD112.729.073.3715.16-0.4010.995-0.2580.112
Howe, JeremyCW110.6913.281.1215.09-0.8481.922-0.7540.107
Tomlinson, AdamGW113.954.506.6015.05-0.131-0.0090.4510.104
McDonald-Tipungwuti, AnthonyES119.061.864.1115.030.994-0.590-0.0970.102
Macmillan, JamieNM111.5211.412.1015.03-0.6661.510-0.5370.102
Edwards, ShaneRI112.865.676.4715.01-0.3710.2480.4240.100
Polec, JaredNM115.743.925.3014.960.263-0.1370.1660.097
Parish, DarcyES105.442.566.9514.950.316-0.3800.6820.206
McEvoy, BenHW96.672.795.4814.950.794-0.2500.4750.340
Kennedy, JoshSY94.951.997.9814.920.330-0.4641.1450.337
Jones, NathanME114.232.618.0114.85-0.069-0.4260.7610.089
Steele, JackSK113.442.838.5414.80-0.244-0.3780.8780.085
Wright, PeterGC118.373.582.8314.780.841-0.211-0.3780.084
Betts, EddieAD1110.540.773.4414.751.319-0.831-0.2430.082
Florent, OliverSY115.013.486.2314.720.101-0.2340.3710.079
Savage, ShaneSK112.768.223.6514.64-0.3930.809-0.1970.073
Lloyd, SamWB118.661.674.3114.640.906-0.634-0.0520.073
Phillips, TomCW114.774.505.3514.630.050-0.0100.1770.073
Rohan, GaryGE1110.931.132.5714.621.404-0.752-0.4350.072
Walsh, SamCA114.644.205.7414.570.021-0.0760.2620.069
Stringer, JakeES109.320.904.2814.501.256-0.7820.0360.170
Daniel, CalebWB110.979.963.5714.49-0.7871.191-0.2150.063
Sexton, AlexGC1110.630.653.1514.431.339-0.857-0.3070.058
Kennedy, JoshWC1012.740.411.2614.422.084-0.900-0.6950.163
Langdon, EdFR113.455.235.6814.35-0.2410.1500.2490.053
Walker, TaylorAD119.871.423.0314.321.172-0.687-0.3330.050
Billings, JackSK114.794.984.5214.290.0540.096-0.0060.048
Selwood, JoelGE93.255.595.3514.19-0.1260.5020.4390.272
McGovern, JeremyWC111.0912.160.9414.18-0.7611.674-0.7940.040
Berry, JarrodBL95.452.995.5714.000.464-0.1970.4970.255
Haynes, NickGW101.789.912.2913.98-0.5691.397-0.4450.128
Sinclair, JackSK114.223.176.5713.96-0.072-0.3030.4460.024
Taylor, HarryGE112.429.831.6913.95-0.4671.162-0.6270.023
Conca, ReeceFR112.275.705.9313.90-0.5010.2540.3050.019
McKenna, ConorES112.238.633.0413.90-0.5100.898-0.3310.019
Fisher, ZacCA115.002.366.5313.880.099-0.4810.4360.018
Newman, NicCA92.2010.011.6413.85-0.4081.690-0.5590.241
Sheppard, BradWC111.6110.781.4513.84-0.6461.372-0.6810.015
Balta, NoahRI105.252.126.4613.830.271-0.4880.5630.115
Membrey, TimSK1110.061.881.8813.821.213-0.587-0.5870.013
Stephenson, JaidynCW119.552.062.0713.681.100-0.547-0.5450.003
Cripps, JamieWC98.231.943.4613.631.212-0.478-0.0680.222
Moore, DarcyCW90.4411.841.2413.52-0.8812.184-0.6670.212
Mackay, DavidAD102.936.603.9813.52-0.2910.598-0.0360.090
McIntosh, KamdynRI114.544.254.7213.51-0.002-0.0650.038-0.009
Dahlhaus, LukeGE116.342.224.9313.490.394-0.5120.085-0.011
Lynch, TomAD107.971.414.0913.460.928-0.660-0.0110.086
Parfitt, BrandanGE104.242.516.7013.450.027-0.3940.6210.085
McKay, HarryCA1110.511.111.7913.421.313-0.755-0.605-0.016
Melksham, JakeME86.481.105.8313.410.959-0.6670.7630.352
Howard, DougalPA92.089.671.6413.39-0.4411.601-0.5600.200
Martin, JackGC114.402.176.7213.29-0.033-0.5230.479-0.026
Gaff, AndrewWC93.403.806.0313.22-0.0860.0220.6210.185
Talia, DanielAD110.0512.500.6713.21-0.9891.749-0.854-0.031
Petruccelle, JackWC118.521.892.7313.150.875-0.584-0.399-0.036
Lambert, KaneRI94.562.196.3713.120.227-0.4120.7130.176
Westhoff, JustinPA115.154.673.2913.110.1340.028-0.277-0.038
Jones, ZakSY93.223.975.9213.10-0.1350.0670.5910.174
Viney, JackME103.011.968.1313.10-0.273-0.5260.9680.056
Gray, RobbiePA85.931.325.8313.070.794-0.6010.7620.318
Miles, AnthonyGC93.733.355.9813.060.003-0.1000.6080.170
Cameron, CharlieBL119.940.662.4613.051.187-0.855-0.460-0.043
Witherden, AlexBL111.259.162.6413.05-0.7251.014-0.419-0.043
McGrath, AndrewES114.254.504.2913.04-0.066-0.011-0.055-0.044
Maynard, BraydenCW111.577.853.5913.02-0.6540.726-0.209-0.046
Mumford, ShaneGW84.641.656.7313.010.403-0.5021.0360.312
Kent, DeanSK118.541.293.1813.010.878-0.717-0.300-0.046
Lynch, TomRI1110.650.931.4012.981.344-0.796-0.692-0.048
Pittard, JasperNM111.1910.211.5712.97-0.7381.246-0.655-0.049
Duursma, XavierPA115.092.235.6312.950.119-0.5100.238-0.051
Shaw, HeathGW110.3811.331.2412.94-0.9171.493-0.728-0.051
Rozee, ConnorPA116.951.944.0512.930.528-0.574-0.110-0.052
Vlastuin, NickRI101.308.473.1012.87-0.6851.050-0.2500.039
Wood, MasonNM98.341.053.4512.841.243-0.718-0.0720.151
Higgins, JackRI115.522.654.6512.820.213-0.4170.023-0.060
Hamling, JoelFR110.3911.570.8312.80-0.9131.546-0.818-0.062
Keath, AlexAD110.8710.501.3212.69-0.8081.310-0.710-0.069
Thomas, DaleCA101.968.622.1112.69-0.5251.085-0.4900.023
Ryan, LiamWC118.290.943.4612.680.823-0.793-0.240-0.070
Weitering, JacobCA110.2411.351.0912.68-0.9481.496-0.759-0.070
Blicavs, MarkGE110.2211.311.1012.63-0.9521.488-0.758-0.074
OBrien, ReillyAD94.542.145.9412.620.220-0.4240.5960.131
Williams, ZacGW91.518.442.6612.61-0.5941.269-0.2840.130
Saad, AdamES110.739.612.2212.56-0.8401.114-0.511-0.079
Macpherson, DarcyGC114.502.975.0512.51-0.011-0.3470.110-0.083
Ellis, BrandonRI103.315.313.8912.51-0.1990.285-0.0590.009
Bowes, JackGC114.142.995.3612.49-0.089-0.3430.180-0.084
Clark, JordanGE104.245.312.9012.450.0270.284-0.2990.004
Tucker, DarcyFR114.192.925.2312.33-0.079-0.3580.150-0.096
Houli, BacharRI82.117.892.2912.28-0.3631.385-0.3070.238
Naughton, AaronWB118.321.512.4212.250.830-0.667-0.467-0.102
Shiels, LiamHW83.952.186.0912.220.195-0.3400.8420.232
Ceglar, JonathonHW84.113.664.4412.210.2420.1080.3430.231
Miers, GryanGE118.051.063.1012.200.770-0.767-0.319-0.105
Petracca, ChristianME116.220.695.2712.190.369-0.8470.159-0.106
Curnow, EdCA115.952.453.7712.170.309-0.462-0.170-0.108
Andrews, HarrisBL90.6510.221.2012.07-0.8251.748-0.6760.082
Kelly, JakeAD110.989.651.4412.06-0.7851.123-0.684-0.116
Cousins, JamesHW105.001.425.6412.060.210-0.6570.364-0.028
Dow, PaddyCA114.701.445.8812.020.034-0.6840.293-0.119
Caddy, JoshRI85.521.794.6912.000.668-0.4580.4190.210
Hooker, CaleES80.4710.810.6811.96-0.8592.270-0.7930.206
Thomas, JoshCW116.451.234.2611.940.418-0.729-0.063-0.125
Scully, TomHW104.842.065.0311.940.172-0.5020.218-0.037
Clurey, TomPA110.5810.241.1211.93-0.8731.252-0.753-0.125
Hipwood, EricBL118.990.502.4111.900.978-0.891-0.469-0.127
Kreuzer, MatthewCA65.291.575.0311.901.135-0.3661.0300.600
Davis, PhilGW91.089.611.1811.87-0.7101.585-0.6830.064
Zaharakis, DavidES103.113.485.2411.83-0.248-0.1590.269-0.046
Byrne-Jones, DarcyPA112.394.664.7711.82-0.4740.0240.050-0.133
Dumont, TrentNM103.683.075.0411.79-0.109-0.2570.219-0.049
Dawson, JordanSY105.543.662.5611.770.341-0.114-0.380-0.051
Tarrant, RobbieNM110.609.951.1811.72-0.8691.189-0.741-0.141
Murphy, LachlanAD117.151.692.8611.690.572-0.629-0.371-0.142
Gardiner, DarcyBL111.108.681.9111.69-0.7580.909-0.579-0.143
Roughead, JordanCW110.2110.720.7411.67-0.9541.359-0.837-0.144
Ellis-Yolmen, CamAD82.473.365.7811.61-0.2540.0170.7480.171
Zurhaar, CameronNM87.580.813.2111.611.294-0.754-0.0280.170
English, TimWB94.242.255.1111.600.140-0.3950.3750.040
Salem, ChristianME91.067.423.1211.59-0.7150.994-0.1620.039
McDonald, TomME115.003.872.6811.540.099-0.149-0.411-0.153
Nankervis, TobyRI83.991.515.9911.480.206-0.5440.8120.158
Casboult, LeviCA94.275.241.9711.480.1480.409-0.4690.029
Gray, SamPA96.370.824.2611.460.713-0.7790.1470.027
Smith, BaileyWB113.412.006.0311.44-0.250-0.5600.326-0.161
Grimes, DylanRI100.659.541.2211.42-0.8421.310-0.705-0.079
Taberner, MatthewFR96.901.542.9411.380.855-0.586-0.2090.020
Miller, ToukGC82.153.355.8811.38-0.3510.0140.7780.147
Crozier, HaydenWB101.577.122.6511.34-0.6210.723-0.358-0.085
McCarthy, LincolnBL116.091.243.9911.330.341-0.728-0.121-0.169
Baker, LiamRI85.571.124.5111.190.683-0.6620.3640.129
Smith, IsaacHW83.164.263.7711.18-0.0440.2880.1390.128
de Boer, MattGW113.291.656.2311.17-0.276-0.6380.371-0.181
McLean, TobyWB115.211.674.2511.130.145-0.632-0.064-0.184
McInerney, OscarBL104.432.654.0311.120.073-0.359-0.024-0.103
Petrevski-Seton, SamCA113.033.065.0111.10-0.333-0.3270.102-0.186
Taylor, SamGW100.709.391.0011.09-0.8301.273-0.758-0.105
Daniels, BrentGW116.200.963.8711.030.364-0.788-0.149-0.191
Reid, SamGW111.945.503.5611.01-0.5730.211-0.216-0.193
Cerra, AdamFR112.864.943.1910.98-0.3710.086-0.298-0.195
Matera, BrandonFR97.830.882.2410.951.106-0.765-0.397-0.018
Dunstan, LukeSK72.811.106.9710.88-0.028-0.6201.4100.254
Fritsch, BayleyME112.125.583.1810.88-0.5340.228-0.300-0.202
Hunt, JaydenME116.860.853.1610.860.509-0.814-0.305-0.203
Vardy, NathanWC104.472.114.2610.840.082-0.4900.031-0.126
Brown, NathanSK90.239.810.7410.79-0.9371.639-0.801-0.033
McGovern, MitchCA98.031.211.5210.761.159-0.675-0.591-0.036
Burton, RyanPA91.735.953.0710.75-0.5360.600-0.174-0.036
Weller, LachieGC70.977.831.9310.73-0.6641.706-0.3310.237
Anderson, JedNM83.031.616.0510.69-0.083-0.5140.8310.078
Crouch, MattAD82.312.925.4010.63-0.300-0.1160.6320.072
Hombsch, JackGC110.269.800.5510.61-0.9441.157-0.879-0.222
Greene, TobyGW75.610.964.0110.580.939-0.6670.3870.220
Bruce, JoshSK117.041.182.3310.560.549-0.739-0.487-0.226
Acres, BlakeSK93.962.863.6710.480.064-0.232-0.012-0.060
Bonner, RileyPA82.434.633.3610.42-0.2640.4000.0150.050
Murphy, MarcCA93.993.103.3210.410.072-0.166-0.107-0.067
Johannisen, JasonWB83.643.802.9510.390.1010.150-0.1070.048
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Longer, BillySK10.570.330.781.680.386-0.2030.8780.354
Polson, CameronCA30.950.270.451.67-0.232-0.785-0.634-0.550
Abbott, RyanGE10.720.240.711.670.734-0.4070.7210.349
Corr, AidanGW20.001.460.201.66-1.0000.767-0.754-0.329
Ahern, PaulNM20.650.070.941.65-0.214-0.9190.135-0.332
Ham, BraydenES20.880.170.601.650.065-0.791-0.279-0.335
Roberts, FletcherWB20.141.080.251.48-0.8330.313-0.692-0.404
Petty, HarryME20.041.130.291.46-0.9490.366-0.649-0.411
Keilty, DeclanME20.240.430.781.45-0.705-0.479-0.059-0.414
Rowbottom, JamesSY30.830.100.491.42-0.327-0.922-0.602-0.617
Lipinski, PatrickWB20.320.350.741.42-0.610-0.573-0.103-0.429
Markov, OlegRI20.200.960.251.41-0.7570.163-0.697-0.430
Frampton, BillyPA20.900.400.101.400.084-0.519-0.874-0.436
Sparrow, TomME20.470.320.611.40-0.437-0.608-0.266-0.437
Glass, ConorHW30.210.610.551.38-0.830-0.506-0.552-0.630
Wells, DanielCW11.080.070.131.281.620-0.836-0.6970.029
Dale, BaileyWB20.510.290.481.28-0.387-0.646-0.425-0.486
Brander, JarrodWC20.420.390.431.24-0.495-0.523-0.485-0.501
Ladhams, PeterPA10.540.380.301.220.312-0.086-0.282-0.019
Henderson, LachieGE10.111.000.101.21-0.7331.422-0.760-0.024
Kolodjashnij, KadeME20.510.350.331.19-0.385-0.573-0.604-0.521
Fasolo, AlexCA30.950.070.151.18-0.232-0.941-0.878-0.684
King, BenGC30.820.030.321.16-0.340-0.979-0.742-0.687
Williamson, TomCA20.120.850.191.16-0.8560.028-0.771-0.533
Kennedy Harris, JayME10.210.280.631.12-0.488-0.3270.519-0.099
Poholke, MylesAD20.410.190.491.09-0.502-0.776-0.403-0.560
Garlett, JarrodCA2-0.121.030.161.07-1.1440.241-0.802-0.568
May, StevenME1-0.041.11-0.011.06-1.1021.676-1.013-0.146
Keays, BenBL10.350.230.441.01-0.154-0.4510.059-0.182
Grundy, HeathSY10.160.550.280.99-0.6030.326-0.322-0.200
Gardner, RyanWB10.510.210.220.930.227-0.501-0.465-0.246
Guthrie, ZachGE10.110.310.490.91-0.733-0.2380.177-0.265
Coleman-Jones, CallumRI10.280.130.440.85-0.333-0.6910.076-0.316
Atley, JoePA10.000.200.640.85-1.000-0.5070.552-0.318
Garner, JoelPA10.090.530.190.81-0.7860.291-0.534-0.343
Pierce, LewisSK10.350.110.350.81-0.150-0.729-0.162-0.347
Douglas, RichardAD10.310.140.340.78-0.254-0.668-0.188-0.370
Rance, AlexRI1-0.050.780.030.76-1.1210.886-0.931-0.389
Kennedy, MatthewCA20.060.010.680.75-0.928-0.985-0.181-0.698
Menzel, DanielSY10.48-0.010.230.700.154-1.015-0.439-0.433
Smith, ArchieBL10.290.170.220.68-0.305-0.586-0.471-0.454
Johnson, AidynPA10.270.160.250.67-0.358-0.608-0.405-0.457
Bewley, BrettFR20.200.000.440.64-0.762-1.000-0.466-0.743
Lemmens, SeanGC10.46-0.020.130.570.113-1.047-0.694-0.543
Hrovat, NathanNM10.160.150.240.55-0.607-0.646-0.410-0.554
Durdin, SamNM10.000.510.030.54-1.0000.238-0.923-0.562
Smith, JoshWC10.54-0.010.000.530.298-1.015-1.000-0.572
Young, AaronGC10.200.150.160.51-0.505-0.626-0.623-0.585
Doedee, TomAD10.000.460.030.49-1.0000.113-0.928-0.605
Ballantyne, HaydenFR10.390.010.080.48-0.046-0.983-0.805-0.611
McInerney, JustinSY10.180.100.180.46-0.567-0.767-0.561-0.632
Taylor, CurtisNM10.160.020.270.45-0.607-0.956-0.346-0.636
Nelson, JacksonWC1-0.120.520.030.43-1.2890.247-0.922-0.654
Hannan, MitchME10.34-0.010.090.42-0.180-1.028-0.770-0.660
Macreadie, HarrisonCA10.060.270.080.40-0.856-0.354-0.817-0.676
Lang, DarcyCA10.30-0.030.090.36-0.280-1.073-0.786-0.713
Langdon, ZacGW10.000.090.250.34-1.000-0.782-0.389-0.724
Coffield, NickSK10.000.340.000.34-1.000-0.173-1.000-0.724
Madgen, JackCW1-0.050.300.010.26-1.119-0.280-0.972-0.791
Schoenfeld, JoshGC10.000.200.020.22-1.000-0.517-0.949-0.822
Ward, CallanGW10.050.000.080.14-0.869-1.000-0.801-0.890
Vickers-Willis, EdNM1-0.050.06-0.010.00-1.131-0.853-1.013-0.999
Mutch, KobeES10.000.000.000.00-1.000-1.000-1.000-1.000
Sheridan, TomGW1-0.05-0.01-0.01-0.07-1.131-1.017-1.013-1.054

If you do some sorting on the table above, you can find that so far the most valuable offensive contribution has come from Jeremy Cameron, while Travis Boak has been a powerhouse for Port and narrowly leads the mid category. Down back, Kelly’s teammate Tom Stewart leads the ranking so far. There’s still a lot of footy to play, but Kelly appears to have taken the next step from his stellar performances last year – which is remarkable considering the late start to his AFL career.

With trade speculation around Kelly continuing, HPN had a look during the week to the 20 most similar players to Kelly at age 25. Those 20 players averaged 126 PAV across the rest of their careers – which is worth roughly pick 2 according to the HPN Draft Pick Value Chart. If Kelly is willing to go to Fremantle, and the Dockers narrowly miss the 8, a fair starting price for Kelly may be their first round pick (around picks 6-10) and their second rounder (picks 24-28) – but Geelong may even ask more. Quite clearly, Geelong gambled correctly in rejecting West Coast’s offer last year – figuring that they could have a run at a premiership and, even if he goes, get more for Kelly after a successful year.

Of course, the reality of trade negotiations is that this “fair” value is just a starting point. Factors such as contract status, salary, usage of Total Player Payments, health and club need all factor into how much the Cats may get for Kelly. Also not to be discounted is the willingness and want for Geelong to hold onto their star player. If Kelly keeps this form up, the offseason will be very interesting.

The other stuff

All the information above and below is available on HPNFooty.com – and is updated relatively soon after each round. This is where PAV lives, the 2019 Player Rate Stats are here, and the Player Team Contributions are here.

To remind everyone of what we have on show, HPN thought it was worthwhile to walk through some of the more interesting finding of the season to date.

Tom Lynch only does one thing – but does it well

When Tom Lynch left Gold Coast to join Richmond, many questioned what how the fit with Jack Riewoldt would work. So far, that hasn’t really been tested, but Richmond has shown that Lynch can do something newish: score on basically every other touch.

In this young season, Tom Lynch has scored on over 40% of his disposals. He has almost exclusively stayed at home to do so, and to many other tall forwards who roam further afield for their marks. Over 60% of his marks have come inside 50 – a bit of a different approach to his days on the Gold Coast. When Riewoldt comes back, expect the Tigers stalwart to roam up the ground a little more, as he has done occasionally in recent years when Martin became the deep focal forward.

Harry McKay is a contested marking beast

HPN has been really hot on Harry McKay for about 12 months now. The young Blues forward has some of the same advanced indicators as the star KPFs did at the same age. One of those indicators is his ability to jag a contested grab, as indicated below.

In addition, 30% of McKay’s disposals end in a score of some kind – not far behind Lynch in the grand scheme of things. Unlike Lynch, this is a continuation of his performance last year, and an indication that his prolific days are here to stay. McKay didn’t appear highly in our “most improved” post because the data was already telling us he was pretty good last year.

At the other end of things is former Roo, now Lion Ryan Bastinac. The veteran seemingly needs the ball kicked to him to get disposals (indicated by his high Mark per Disposal rate), but he has failed to register a single contested mark so far this year.

Cunnington and Cripps get the hard ball, but don’t get it to a useful spot

There’s long been an argument amongst the footy analyst community to the value of getting clearances against making practical use of them. After all, the past three seasons has seen a radical transition to teams focusing on winning turnovers (which are responsible for about two-thirds of all scores) rather than getting the first clearance (responsible for most of that remaining third).

The value of Patrick Cripps and Ben Cunnington is emblematic of this divide. Both excel at winning the hardest of hard ball, but both have knocks on how they use the ball when they have it. These two players are the only two in the league to win more than 20% of their team’s total clearances so far this year, but both have contributed less than 5.5% of their inside 50s.

Both players quite clearly can’t do it all, but there has to be a question of balance with respect to what a player can do with the ball when they win it. In recent weeks Carlton has shown a real inability to usefully get the ball inside 50, and many of Cripps’ clearances ultimately amount to nothing. Perhaps a more balanced midfield attack, and a bit more support for Cripps, may help alleviate their issues going forward.

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