Look, the Roos probably won’t make the finals, but there are some really promising signs for a Kangaroos side which had been expected to give Brisbane, Carlton and the Gold Coast company at the bottom of the ladder. North has largely built their competitiveness on a vastly improved defence, although
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There’s a lot to get through here, so we’re going to get right to it with a roundup of the current state of what we’re running this year. The HPN Team Ratings In 2015, HPN was sitting at HPN HQ (which was an actual physical location at that time) and
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The AFL recently released its annual report for 2017, which includes a breakdown of AFL money given to all 18 clubs. The 2017 Annual Report is particularly interesting (trust us here) because 2017 was the first year of a new and larger broadcasting deal, where the AFL has fully applied its
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After three years and at least as many requests, we have finally come up with a tipping model. Perhaps the longest part of the process was coming up with a name, like all good statistical models. We’d like to introduce our new friend PERT (Player Estimated Result Tipping), named in
Continue reading »Despite their lowly 5th position on a very tight ladder heading into round 7, the Lions finished the season in second place on both the ladder and in the HPN Team Ratings. The Lions ended up rated second best for their defence and midfield and a weaker 5th for their
Continue reading »Let’s take a walk through the last two rounds and what each team needs to be worried about. Broadly speaking there are three main paths for the last two weeks to follow: The Bulldogs aiming to win one game and lock up a grand final spot. The Crows and Brisbane
Continue reading »As with last week, these power rankings are influenced by, but not determined, by our team strength ratings. 1. Melbourne (no change) Melbourne seems to be following down a similar path to their 2017 season, when they constantly beat the best opposition (bar Brisbane), but struggled against poor opposition in
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After round 2 of the AFLW season – nearly a third of the way through the competition – HPN thought that it was fair time for reflection on the strengths and prospects of each side. These rankings are guided, but not entirely determined, by the HPN Team Ratings, which early
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After a relatively short gestation period, some limited trials at VFL and AFL level and aborted start at the end of last year, AFLX is finally at our feet. Whether the footballing public wants it or not. Ryan Buckland at The Roar had a good take on the competition, in
Continue reading »Given the condensed nature of the competition, and the small pool of finalists (just two, for those playing at home), even round one can have nearly catastrophic consequences if a side has an off week, or loses a close game. The standard of the four games, and the eight teams
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