After an eventful round four, the finals picture of the inaugural AFLW season is beginning to shape up. Round four saw a rematch of each pre-season match, albeit with vastly different results. Of the four preseason winners, only one walked away with the points on the weekend (Brisbane, in their
Continue reading »Statistical Prediction of the 2017 Super Rugby season
Last year we looked at the fixture unnevenness and indulged in a simple win-loss and luck based projection of the 2016 Super Rugby season. This year we’re going to try to apply a Pythagorean approach to strength rating and apply the method to project 2017. The projection involves three steps: Pythagorean strength accounts
Continue reading »AFLW Round 3 Wrap and Power Rankings
Three weeks into the AFLW and our pre-season favourites Collingwood, a team highly fancied by many, sits last on the ladder wondering what has gone wrong. Before we dig into that, here’s a chart of the depth of each team that played on the weekend and who was among their
Continue reading »AFLW Round 2 – What HPN learned (including how the Crows built their team)
First up, here’s a chart showing each team’s selections and who was named in the bests this week (according to afl.com.au): Adelaide d Western Bulldogs Like many other observers, we underrated the Crows’ chances before the season and after their triumph over putative premiership favourites the Bulldogs on their home patch,
Continue reading »AFLW R2 squads depth chart
The chart below shows named round two teams sorted by the order in which they were drafted. This gives an indication of how close to full strength each team may be. According to this, Ebony Antonio (Freo) and Jaimee Lambert (Dogs) are the highest profile outs, with Lambert injured and Antonio suspended. Adelaide
Continue reading »What we learnt from round 1 of the AFLW
When HPN wrote a power ranking of AFLW teams back in November last year, we took a very simple approach, examining where former All-Star players were drafted and trying to apply past representative results to discern the strength of each state’s draft pool. Central to our take was the following: So,
Continue reading »HPNXmas – Our favourite sport writing of 2016
The 12 days of HPNXmas is our way of giving back over the holiday period, and providing a place for some of our thoughts that didn’t get run for whatever reason during the year. Today, we conclude our run of 12 posts over the 12 days of Just After Christmas
Continue reading »HPNXmas – What happened to Jack Fitzpatrick in 2016?
The 12 days of HPNXmas is our way of giving back over the holiday period, and providing a place for some of our thoughts that didn’t get run for whatever reason during the year. One of HPN’s favourite pieces of 2015 was the post evaluating the Jack Fitzpatrick trade to
Continue reading »HPNXmas – Which is the best Hurling County?
The 12 days of HPNXmas is our way of giving back over the holiday period, and providing a place for some of our thoughts that didn’t get run for whatever reason during the year. As much as we appreciate the sport as a spectacle and cultural institution, we’re not hurling
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