Collingwood value in: 2756 points – James Aish (1306 points), pick 34 (840 points), pick 53 (610 points). Value out: 3410 points – pick 26 (910 points), pick 28 (890 points), pick 47 (700 points), 2016 2nd rounder ~ pick 26 (910 points). Total = -654 points.
North Melbourne value in: 3500 points – pick 17 (1000 points), pick 26 (910 points), pick 28 (890 points), pick 47 (700 points). Value out: 5561 points – Ryan Bastinac (1946 points), pick 34 (840 points), pick 38 (800 points), pick 40 (780 points), pick 53 (610 points), 2016 3rd rounder ~ pick 55 (585 points). Total = -2061 points.
Brisbane value in: 5021 points – Ryan Bastinac (1946 points), pick 38 (800 points), pick 40 (780 points), 2016 3rd rounder ~ pick 55 (585 points), 2016 2nd rounder ~ pick 26 (910 points). Value out: 2306 points – James Aish (1306 points), pick 17 (1000 points). Total = +2715 points.
Verdict: Unfair trade. Brisbane the huuuuge winners, North the big losers, Collingwood lose slightly but get the most promising player out of it.
Given the quick movements of the final day, we can’t spend too much time on this one, but it’s worth noting that the HPN formula rates Bastinac quite highly due to his “elite” loading for his high Rising Star finish, and his ability to play a lot of games at a young age. Aish’s form seemed to dive off a cliff this year, with his only area of statistical improvement being an increase in RB50s per game. Aish also spent a lot of time in their NEAFL team this year, and will have to work hard to crack the Collingwood midfield rotation.
North, on paper at least, gave up a lot for not a whole lot in return, but this loss would be mitigated if they don’t have any intention of using more than three draft picks this year. That would turn this result from a big on paper loss to a moderate one at best.