Picks fly every which way as clubs align their selections with their draft strategy. Gold Coast has a bet on a Fremantle slide. Sydney value in: 1630 points (pick 36 – 820 points, pick 37 – 810 points) West Coast value in: 940 points (pick 23) Verdict: Theoretically unfair if
Continue reading »Bastinac, Aish and a variety of draft picks change hands near the death #AFLtrades
Collingwood value in: 2756 points – James Aish (1306 points), pick 34 (840 points), pick 53 (610 points). Value out: 3410 points – pick 26 (910 points), pick 28 (890 points), pick 47 (700 points), 2016 2nd rounder ~ pick 26 (910 points). Total = -654 points. North Melbourne value
Continue reading »Pick swap – Hawthorn 53 and 58 for GWS 48 #AFLtrades
A simple win-win swap of picks, not a “loophole”, not evidence of a broken system. Hawthorn value in: 690 points (pick 48) GWS value in: 1130 points (pick 55 – 585 points, pick 58 – 545 points) Verdict: theoretically unfair but practically win-win. GWS get back 1.63 points of value for what they
Continue reading »Tomas Bugg and the ritualistic exchange of picks #afltrades
Greater Western Sydney value in = 2460 points – Pick 10 (1230 points), Pick 43 (750 points) and Pick 63 (480 points). Melbourne value in = 2873 points – Tomas Bugg (1473 points) and pick 7 (1400 points). Verdict – Fair trade (Melbourne gains 413 points of pick and player
Continue reading »Carlisle correction – actually very fair between St Kilda and Essendon #AFLtrades
A correction to our earlier post on the Jake Carlisle trade which has now been edited, click here to read it. We assigned pick 44 to the wrong club and so rated St Kilda as giving up a lot more than they did, and Essendon as much bigger winners than they were.
Continue reading »Treloar to Collingwood – almost perfectly balanced #afltrades
Treloar for two high picks is a perfect blockbuster trade. Collingwood value in: 3333 points (Adam Treloar 2443 points, pick 28 890 points) GWs value in: 3300 points (Pick 7 – 1400 points, 2016 pick ~7 – 1400 points, pick 62 – 500 points) Verdict: Actually a little bit beautiful (Collingwood gain 1.01
Continue reading »Jack Fitzpatrick to Hawthorn for pick 94
THIS ISN’T A REAL TRADE.
Continue reading »The Carlton 5, and Menzel to Adelaide #afltrades
Carlton essentially recruit five fringe players in exchange for Troy Menzel and Lachie Henderson and draft pick scraps. Menzel for Kerridge Carlton value in: 1713 points – Sam Kerridge (823 points), Pick 28 – 890 points. Adelaide value in: 1351 points – Troy Menzel. Verdict: Fair, and despite popular perceptions, in
Continue reading »Every Rosa Has Its Thorn #afltrades
West Coast value in = 870 points – Pick 31. Gold Coast value in = 318 points – Matt Rosa. Verdict – Unfair trade (West Coast gains 552 points of pick and player value, or 2.74 points back for every point given up). Gold Coast, after having acquired a number
Continue reading »Carlisle – St Kilda and Essendon get fair value, Sydney leave heads scratching #afltrades
An earlier version of this post assigned the loss of pick 44 to St Kilda and saw the trade as a bigger win for Essendon than it really was. This post has now been corrected and re-written. St Kilda and Essendon leave the table happy while the Swans confuse us by
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