HPN

The Giants in 2018 have been hobbled by injury, but they have shown some creativity and originality in how they’ve tried to play footy given this reality. GWS have nothing if not top end talent at their disposal, and some of the quirks of the Giants 2018 methods suggest Leon

The always excellent James Coventry called up Cody from HPN to have a chat about the then-upcoming Showdown between Port and Adelaide for ABC Grandstand. We collaborated with James alongside a cast of other excellent people on the upcoming book Footballistics, which you can buy via presale now (with a $5

Before the year started, HPN predicted that Adelaide and Port Adelaide were likely to be the best two sides in the competition. Things have not exactly gone to plan for either side so far this year; both sides have been hit by injuries, and other issues around incoming/outgoing talent. Both

Read the title back again and think for a moment. The Eagles lost Sam Mitchell, the all-time leader in clearances (well, since 1998 when we first had the stat) over the off-season. Moreover, they also lost the player who was 4th-ranked in Matthew Priddis. Despite his age, Mitchell was a

Look, the Roos probably won’t make the finals, but there are some really promising signs for a Kangaroos side which had been expected to give Brisbane, Carlton and the Gold Coast company at the bottom of the ladder. North has largely built their competitiveness on a vastly improved defence, although

There’s a lot to get through here, so we’re going to get right to it with a roundup of the current state of what we’re running this year. The HPN Team Ratings In 2015, HPN was sitting at HPN HQ (which was an actual physical location at that time) and

The AFL recently released its annual report for 2017, which includes a breakdown of AFL money given to all 18 clubs. The 2017 Annual Report is particularly interesting (trust us here) because 2017 was the first year of a new and larger broadcasting deal, where the AFL has fully applied its

This is week three in HPN’s series on new metrics to evaluate the performance of AFL players and teams. Last week we looked at the Player Team Contribution Statistics, and the week before we introduced the Player Rate Statistics. This week, instead of looking at player based performance measures, we thought

This is week two in HPN’s series on new metrics to evaluate the performance of AFL players and teams. Last week we looked at the Player Rate Statistics. Raw statistics, such as kicks, handballs and marks, have a easy understanding at face level for most punters. However, different teams play

After three years and at least as many requests, we have finally come up with a tipping model. Perhaps the longest part of the process was coming up with a name, like all good statistical models. We’d like to introduce our new friend PERT (Player Estimated Result Tipping), named in