This is a simple 2-for-1 trade, a win-win for both parties’ draft goals. Gold Coast swap pick 26 and 80 to the Dogs for 35 and 46. This improves the Dogs’ draft position at their second pick – they now have 18, 26 and 61. In theory the Dogs lose a
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Trade period roundup part 2 – Dawn of the Final Day #AFLTrades
Following up from our roundup of the first week of trade period, here’s a look at the last few days, ahead of a no-doubt frenzied final day. For a full recap of all movement on an easy to read webpage, check out Draft Guru. NOTE: We do not use the AFL
Continue reading »TRADE: Tuohy and Smedts – weird spellings, new clubs #AFLTrades
Earlier in the trade period HPN looked at the value of Zach Tuohy, so we will try to sum it up briefly here: Tuohy should be an upgrade off half back for the Cats, and was one of the Blues best half-dozen in 2016. He is durable and has maybe
Continue reading »TRADE: Toby Nankervis goes for what he’s worth #AFLtrades
Toby Nankervis has been 4th in line at the Swans in the ruck pecking order, sitting behind Tippett, Sinclair and Naismith. He has a 7-5 record (58%) in his 12 games at the Swans, across a period when the Swans won 70% of their games (with 4 of the 15 losses
Continue reading »TRADE: The Sun set for Richmond #AFLTrades
Yesterday we offered our unsolicited opinion that pick 6 was worth a bit more than Dion Prestia. This is based on the expected value of the pick, and Prestia’s questionable durability reducing his expected contribution. It turns out that to the two clubs involved, the gap between Prestia’s worth and pick 6
Continue reading »Michael Hibberd swaps black for blue as he becomes a Demon #AFLTrades
After accounting for his year off, we rated Michael Hibberd as worth about pick 43 and suggested that Melbourne’s pick 28 (now 29) actually looked a little but too much in isolation. That assessment seems to gave been recognised, with a swap of later picks giving Melbourne a small amount back,
Continue reading »TRADE: Joel Hamling leaves the Kennel to go back west. The real west. #AFLTrades
Joel Hamling is an example of the Levi Greenwood dilemma HPN faced last year, whereby a valuation on 3 years of output results in an unexpectedly low worth for a recently emergent player. Greenwood was traded to Collingwood the first year after he became a regular senior player at North Melbourne. That limited
Continue reading »TRADE: Jordan Lewis gets traded to Melbourne for peanuts #AFLTrades
Something doesn’t add up to us at the offices of HPN. It’s clear as day that Jordan Lewis is aging, being on the wrong side of 30, but surely he is worth more than what was given in this trade. Lewis made the All Australian team in 2014, the 40 man
Continue reading »TRADE: Pearce Hanley heads down the M1 #AFLtrades
We previously discussed Pearce Hanley’s worth and the likelihood Gold Coast would be willing to use one of their glut of early picks to overpay for bringing a 28-year-old into a rebuilding side. Our valuation puts Hanley playing about another three years of football, taking him to the average retirement age
Continue reading »Richmond are right to want more than just Prestia for pick 6 #AFLTrades
Yesterday HPN looked at how Gold Coast could proceed with recycling Jaeger O’Meara into useful assets this trade period. The other significant trade chip the Suns have in 2016 is Dion Prestia. With reports Richmond are reluctant to trade pick 6 without receiving anything in return other than Prestia, and that
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