The interesting thing about GWS trading Jack Steele for St Kilda’s 2017 pick is that both clubs will likely extract more value from their newly acquired asset than the original owner would have. For Steele this is obviously because the Canberran has struggled to crack a deep midfield at GWS.
Continue reading »Tag: afl draft
Tom Mitchell is a very good player, and Hawthorn are poised to rebuild #afltrades
This is the second post in HPN’s series about the 2016 AFL draft and trade season. Spoiler alert: Tom Mitchell is a very good football player. HPN once saw Mitchell get 64 disposals in a NEAFL game – an impressive amount at any level. As Figuring Footy has pointed out,
Continue reading »What chance does an AFL bottom 4 side have of rising up the ladder?
The entire theory of a closed-entry league like the AFL, with salary caps, with a draft, is that success should be roughly cyclical. The clubs down the bottom of the ladder have the tools available to improve faster than clubs near the top. The hope bottom clubs can realistically sell
Continue reading »Introducing the 2015 HPN Consensus Phantom Draft #AFL
At Hurling People Now we do not watch a lot of under-18 football. While we love a good bit of local footy, we have neither the time, the money, or the interest to travel 600km to see the nations’ best juniors. What we do have is a spreadsheet. Several in fact.
Continue reading »It’s OVER – Saying goodbye to the 2015 AFL Trade Period
After a hectic last day, the 2015 AFL Trade Period is officially over! Here’s a quick “by-the-numbers” look: 37 trades were lodged; 4 Free Agents moved clubs; 3 Compensation picks were generated; 15 trades involved future draft picks; 7 trades involved draft picks alone; 3 trades were made involving more
Continue reading »In Yarran Richmond Trusts #afltrades
Richmond fill one of their most glaring needs at the deadline, and Carlton accumulate another high pick. Carlton value in = 980 points – Pick 19. Richmond value in = 1312 points – Chris Yarran. Verdict – Unfair trade (Richmond gains 332 points of pick and player value, or 1.34
Continue reading »Bastinac, Aish and a variety of draft picks change hands near the death #AFLtrades
Collingwood value in: 2756 points – James Aish (1306 points), pick 34 (840 points), pick 53 (610 points). Value out: 3410 points – pick 26 (910 points), pick 28 (890 points), pick 47 (700 points), 2016 2nd rounder ~ pick 26 (910 points). Total = -654 points. North Melbourne value
Continue reading »Pick swap – Hawthorn 53 and 58 for GWS 48 #AFLtrades
A simple win-win swap of picks, not a “loophole”, not evidence of a broken system. Hawthorn value in: 690 points (pick 48) GWS value in: 1130 points (pick 55 – 585 points, pick 58 – 545 points) Verdict: theoretically unfair but practically win-win. GWS get back 1.63 points of value for what they
Continue reading »Tomas Bugg and the ritualistic exchange of picks #afltrades
Greater Western Sydney value in = 2460 points – Pick 10 (1230 points), Pick 43 (750 points) and Pick 63 (480 points). Melbourne value in = 2873 points – Tomas Bugg (1473 points) and pick 7 (1400 points). Verdict – Fair trade (Melbourne gains 413 points of pick and player
Continue reading »The Carlton 5, and Menzel to Adelaide #afltrades
Carlton essentially recruit five fringe players in exchange for Troy Menzel and Lachie Henderson and draft pick scraps. Menzel for Kerridge Carlton value in: 1713 points – Sam Kerridge (823 points), Pick 28 – 890 points. Adelaide value in: 1351 points – Troy Menzel. Verdict: Fair, and despite popular perceptions, in
Continue reading »